Superforecasting

SuperforecastingBy: Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow.Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the weeks meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible

By: Wendy Lesser     Room for Doubt is Wendy Lesser’s account of three separate but interlocking occasions for doubt: her stay in Berlin

& many more

infant mortality

are forced to beg in the streets in order to line their teacher’s pockets

as well as a bestiary with all the magical—and dangerous—creatures at Majestica

and offers a profound new understanding of the world below the surface

「他們的故事，也就是我們的故事。『不想回憶，未敢忘記』，是我們自身命運的呼喊。」——羅永生

冰上曲棍球

MILNE | Illustrator: E

This unknown legacy

But after finding her fiancé in bed with her best friend

‘Gorgeously romantic